Coverage atlas · Epoch 01
143 systems. 10 cohorts. One longitudinal map. You cannot catch a flare without the baseline that came before it. So we record the frontier wide and early, every score frozen, with hash-pinned inputs and open raw provenance. Absence here means one thing: no baseline yet. The instrument is the coverage, and the coverage is what compounds.
Snapshot chart wall · 035a72a81e59 Convergence scatter
Convergence scatter, velocity z by citation z 143 systems plotted by development-velocity z (horizontal) and citation-momentum z (vertical).
Rising gate wash starts at z = 1 on both axes (methodology m2).
0 pass the full Rising gate. 122 have no citation axis and sit on the lower rail.
0 have a null velocity z and are excluded from the plane.
-2 -2 -1 -1 +1 +1 +2 +2 RISING z>=1 · empty cohort median development velocity z → citation momentum z ↑ Isaac Lab: velocity z -3.05, citation z +1.81, momentum 42.2 Habitat-Lab: velocity z -0.14, citation z -0.61, momentum 45.3 MuJoCo: velocity z -0.03, citation z -0.04, momentum 49.6 ManiSkill: velocity z +0.21, citation z -0.08, momentum 50.8 Boltz: velocity z -2.58, citation z +2.07, momentum 46.8 OpenFold: velocity z -0.02, citation z -0.41, momentum 47.3 DeepChem: velocity z +2.96, citation z -0.73, momentum 63.9 TorchDrug: velocity z +0.01, citation z -0.18, momentum 48.9 Graphormer: velocity z +0.99, citation z -0.23, momentum 54.7 ESM / ESMFold: velocity z -0.03, citation z +0.49, momentum 52.9 RFdiffusion: velocity z +0.66, citation z +0.09, momentum 54.7 ProteinMPNN: velocity z +0.00, citation z -0.51, momentum 46.8 DiffDock: velocity z +0.01, citation z -0.35, momentum 47.8 Uni-Mol: velocity z +0.01, citation z +0.54, momentum 53.4 AlphaFold3: velocity z -0.56, citation z +0.42, momentum 49.1 SaProt: velocity z -1.85, citation z +1.10, momentum 45.3 Foldseek: velocity z -2.99, citation z +0.66, momentum 35.5 gnina: velocity z +2.86, citation z -0.35, momentum 65.7 Letta: velocity z -3.04, citation z -0.67, momentum 26.8 CAMEL: velocity z -0.97, citation z +0.00, momentum 43.9 MetaGPT: velocity z +0.48, citation z +1.33, momentum 61.3 no citation axis (122) LeRobot: velocity z +0.46, citation axis absent, momentum 55.8 Genesis: velocity z -0.91, citation axis absent, momentum 38.6 OpenVLA: velocity z -0.02, citation axis absent, momentum 49.8 dora-rs: velocity z +1.66, citation axis absent, momentum 70.8 openpi: velocity z -1.39, citation axis absent, momentum 32.7 RDT-1B: velocity z +0.28, citation axis absent, momentum 53.5 Isaac-GR00T: velocity z -2.24, citation axis absent, momentum 22 Cosmos: velocity z +2.87, citation axis absent, momentum 85.8 RoboCasa: velocity z -1.34, citation axis absent, momentum 33.2 robosuite: velocity z +0.03, citation axis absent, momentum 50.4 LIBERO: velocity z +0.24, citation axis absent, momentum 53 Gymnasium: velocity z +1.38, citation axis absent, momentum 67.3 Chai-1: velocity z -1.62, citation axis absent, momentum 29.7 Protenix: velocity z -3.00, citation axis absent, momentum 12.5 LigandMPNN: velocity z +0.04, citation axis absent, momentum 50.4 BioEmu: velocity z +3.02, citation axis absent, momentum 87.8 DiffSBDD: velocity z +0.04, citation axis absent, momentum 50.5 OpenHands: velocity z +1.16, citation axis absent, momentum 64.5 SWE-agent: velocity z -0.13, citation axis absent, momentum 48.4 Cline: velocity z +1.00, citation axis absent, momentum 62.5 Aider: velocity z -2.50, citation axis absent, momentum 18.7 Continue: velocity z -3.00, citation axis absent, momentum 12.5 Goose: velocity z +0.09, citation axis absent, momentum 51.1 OpenCode: velocity z +0.16, citation axis absent, momentum 52 Gemini CLI: velocity z -2.67, citation axis absent, momentum 16.6 Codex CLI: velocity z +0.57, citation axis absent, momentum 57.1 Tabby: velocity z +0.25, citation axis absent, momentum 53.1 Void: velocity z +0.46, citation axis absent, momentum 55.7 Crush: velocity z +0.51, citation axis absent, momentum 56.3 Qwen Code: velocity z +1.80, citation axis absent, momentum 72.5 Kilo Code: velocity z -0.23, citation axis absent, momentum 47.1 Zed: velocity z -0.23, citation axis absent, momentum 47.2 SWE-bench: velocity z +0.24, citation axis absent, momentum 53 mini-swe-agent: velocity z -1.30, citation axis absent, momentum 33.7 Agentless: velocity z -0.31, citation axis absent, momentum 46.1 ChatDev: velocity z -2.16, citation axis absent, momentum 23 Open Interpreter: velocity z -1.01, citation axis absent, momentum 37.4 vLLM: velocity z +0.70, citation axis absent, momentum 58.8 SGLang: velocity z +0.18, citation axis absent, momentum 52.2 llama.cpp: velocity z +0.07, citation axis absent, momentum 50.9 Ollama: velocity z -0.76, citation axis absent, momentum 40.5 LMDeploy: velocity z -0.34, citation axis absent, momentum 45.8 TensorRT-LLM: velocity z -0.01, citation axis absent, momentum 49.9 KTransformers: velocity z -1.12, citation axis absent, momentum 36 LMCache: velocity z +0.04, citation axis absent, momentum 50.5 llm-d: velocity z -1.01, citation axis absent, momentum 37.4 AIBrix: velocity z +0.15, citation axis absent, momentum 51.9 Nano-vLLM: velocity z -1.41, citation axis absent, momentum 32.4 Mooncake: velocity z +1.05, citation axis absent, momentum 63.2 Xinference: velocity z +0.49, citation axis absent, momentum 56.1 LangGraph: velocity z -1.39, citation axis absent, momentum 32.6 CrewAI: velocity z +0.43, citation axis absent, momentum 55.4 AutoGen: velocity z +0.05, citation axis absent, momentum 50.6 OpenAI Agents SDK: velocity z +0.69, citation axis absent, momentum 58.7 Agno: velocity z -0.20, citation axis absent, momentum 47.5 PydanticAI: velocity z +2.31, citation axis absent, momentum 78.9 Google ADK: velocity z +1.62, citation axis absent, momentum 70.3 smolagents: velocity z -1.02, citation axis absent, momentum 37.2 DSPy: velocity z -0.26, citation axis absent, momentum 46.8 AgentScope: velocity z +3.02, citation axis absent, momentum 87.8 Strands Agents: velocity z +0.25, citation axis absent, momentum 53.1 Qwen-Agent: velocity z -0.60, citation axis absent, momentum 42.5 Microsoft Agent Framework: velocity z -0.29, citation axis absent, momentum 46.4 Mastra: velocity z +0.62, citation axis absent, momentum 57.7 verl: velocity z +0.30, citation axis absent, momentum 53.7 LLaMA-Factory: velocity z -0.01, citation axis absent, momentum 49.8 ms-swift: velocity z -0.02, citation axis absent, momentum 49.8 Axolotl: velocity z -0.24, citation axis absent, momentum 47 OpenRLHF: velocity z -3.00, citation axis absent, momentum 12.5 AReaL: velocity z -2.31, citation axis absent, momentum 21.1 Search-R1: velocity z +0.44, citation axis absent, momentum 55.5 Open-Instruct: velocity z -2.99, citation axis absent, momentum 12.6 NeMo-RL: velocity z +3.01, citation axis absent, momentum 87.7 TRL: velocity z +1.11, citation axis absent, momentum 63.9 ROLL: velocity z -2.99, citation axis absent, momentum 12.6 prime-rl: velocity z -0.51, citation axis absent, momentum 43.6 Open R1: velocity z +0.23, citation axis absent, momentum 52.8 Trinity-RFT: velocity z +0.85, citation axis absent, momentum 60.6 FLUX.1: velocity z +0.17, citation axis absent, momentum 52.1 Qwen-Image: velocity z -3.06, citation axis absent, momentum 11.8 Stable Diffusion 3.5: velocity z -0.39, citation axis absent, momentum 45.1 Wan2.2: velocity z -2.91, citation axis absent, momentum 13.6 HunyuanVideo: velocity z +3.02, citation axis absent, momentum 87.8 LTX-Video: velocity z -0.00, citation axis absent, momentum 50 SkyReels-V2: velocity z -0.08, citation axis absent, momentum 49 Open-Sora: velocity z -1.16, citation axis absent, momentum 35.5 ACE-Step: velocity z -0.17, citation axis absent, momentum 47.9 Fish Speech: velocity z -2.79, citation axis absent, momentum 15.1 Kokoro-82M: velocity z -0.06, citation axis absent, momentum 49.3 YuE: velocity z -0.11, citation axis absent, momentum 48.7 Diffusers: velocity z +3.22, citation axis absent, momentum 90.3 Sana: velocity z +2.95, citation axis absent, momentum 86.9 Qwen3-VL: velocity z +0.54, citation axis absent, momentum 56.7 InternVL: velocity z +0.20, citation axis absent, momentum 52.5 GLM-V: velocity z -3.54, citation axis absent, momentum 5.8 Kimi-VL: velocity z -0.87, citation axis absent, momentum 39.1 MiniCPM-V: velocity z -2.32, citation axis absent, momentum 21 DeepSeek-OCR: velocity z +0.63, citation axis absent, momentum 57.9 DeepSeek-VL2: velocity z -0.12, citation axis absent, momentum 48.5 Ovis2.5: velocity z +2.23, citation axis absent, momentum 77.9 Eagle 2.5: velocity z +2.64, citation axis absent, momentum 83.1 moondream: velocity z -2.81, citation axis absent, momentum 14.9 SmolVLM: velocity z -3.29, citation axis absent, momentum 8.9 FastVLM: velocity z +0.04, citation axis absent, momentum 50.5 LLaVA: velocity z +0.66, citation axis absent, momentum 58.2 Browser Use: velocity z -2.21, citation axis absent, momentum 22.3 UI-TARS Desktop: velocity z -1.13, citation axis absent, momentum 35.9 OmniParser: velocity z +0.98, citation axis absent, momentum 62.3 Agent S: velocity z +0.31, citation axis absent, momentum 53.8 OSWorld: velocity z -3.38, citation axis absent, momentum 7.7 ShowUI: velocity z -0.54, citation axis absent, momentum 43.2 Agent-E: velocity z -0.48, citation axis absent, momentum 44 superpowers: velocity z +0.39, citation axis absent, momentum 54.9 ECC: velocity z -2.14, citation axis absent, momentum 23.2 hermes-agent: velocity z +3.72, citation axis absent, momentum 96.5 tensorflow: velocity z +0.60, citation axis absent, momentum 57.5 stable-diffusion-webui: velocity z -0.11, citation axis absent, momentum 48.7 transformers: velocity z -0.82, citation axis absent, momentum 39.8 firecrawl: velocity z +0.53, citation axis absent, momentum 56.6 langflow: velocity z -0.49, citation axis absent, momentum 43.9 langchain: velocity z -0.83, citation axis absent, momentum 39.6 graphify: velocity z +1.51, citation axis absent, momentum 68.9
systems 143
rising (full gate) 0
dual-axis 21
velocity-only 122
Robotics & Embodied AI 16
AI Drug Discovery 19
Coding Agents 20
Inference & Serving 13
Agent Frameworks 17
Post-training & Alignment 14
Media Generation 14
Multimodal Foundation Models 13
GUI & Computer-Use Agents 7
Unassigned (AI-v1 census) 10 Momentum by cohort
Momentum by cohort
Momentum (0 to 100) of each system, grouped into 10 cohorts, with the cohort median marked.
0 25 50 75 100 momentum ↑ med 50 Isaac-GR00T: momentum 22 openpi: momentum 32.7 RoboCasa: momentum 33.2 Genesis: momentum 38.6 Isaac Lab: momentum 42.2 Habitat-Lab: momentum 45.3 MuJoCo: momentum 49.6 OpenVLA: momentum 49.8 robosuite: momentum 50.4 ManiSkill: momentum 50.8 LIBERO: momentum 53 RDT-1B: momentum 53.5 LeRobot: momentum 55.8 Gymnasium: momentum 67.3 dora-rs: momentum 70.8 Cosmos: momentum 85.8 Robotics & Embodied AI Roboticsn=16 med 49 Protenix: momentum 12.5 Chai-1: momentum 29.7 Foldseek: momentum 35.5 SaProt: momentum 45.3 Boltz: momentum 46.8 ProteinMPNN: momentum 46.8 OpenFold: momentum 47.3 DiffDock: momentum 47.8 TorchDrug: momentum 48.9 AlphaFold3: momentum 49.1 LigandMPNN: momentum 50.4 DiffSBDD: momentum 50.5 ESM / ESMFold: momentum 52.9 Uni-Mol: momentum 53.4 Graphormer: momentum 54.7 RFdiffusion: momentum 54.7 DeepChem: momentum 63.9 gnina: momentum 65.7 BioEmu: momentum 87.8 AI Drug Discovery Drug Disc.n=19 med 50 Continue: momentum 12.5 Gemini CLI: momentum 16.6 Aider: momentum 18.7 ChatDev: momentum 23 mini-swe-agent: momentum 33.7 Open Interpreter: momentum 37.4 Agentless: momentum 46.1 Kilo Code: momentum 47.1 Zed: momentum 47.2 SWE-agent: momentum 48.4 Goose: momentum 51.1 OpenCode: momentum 52 SWE-bench: momentum 53 Tabby: momentum 53.1 Void: momentum 55.7 Crush: momentum 56.3 Codex CLI: momentum 57.1 Cline: momentum 62.5 OpenHands: momentum 64.5 Qwen Code: momentum 72.5 Coding Agents Codingn=20 med 51 Nano-vLLM: momentum 32.4 KTransformers: momentum 36 llm-d: momentum 37.4 Ollama: momentum 40.5 LMDeploy: momentum 45.8 TensorRT-LLM: momentum 49.9 LMCache: momentum 50.5 llama.cpp: momentum 50.9 AIBrix: momentum 51.9 SGLang: momentum 52.2 Xinference: momentum 56.1 vLLM: momentum 58.8 Mooncake: momentum 63.2 Inference & Serving Inferencen=13 med 51 Letta: momentum 26.8 LangGraph: momentum 32.6 smolagents: momentum 37.2 Qwen-Agent: momentum 42.5 CAMEL: momentum 43.9 Microsoft Agent Framework: momentum 46.4 DSPy: momentum 46.8 Agno: momentum 47.5 AutoGen: momentum 50.6 Strands Agents: momentum 53.1 CrewAI: momentum 55.4 Mastra: momentum 57.7 OpenAI Agents SDK: momentum 58.7 MetaGPT: momentum 61.3 Google ADK: momentum 70.3 PydanticAI: momentum 78.9 AgentScope: momentum 87.8 Agent Frameworks Agentsn=17 med 50 OpenRLHF: momentum 12.5 Open-Instruct: momentum 12.6 ROLL: momentum 12.6 AReaL: momentum 21.1 prime-rl: momentum 43.6 Axolotl: momentum 47 LLaMA-Factory: momentum 49.8 ms-swift: momentum 49.8 Open R1: momentum 52.8 verl: momentum 53.7 Search-R1: momentum 55.5 Trinity-RFT: momentum 60.6 TRL: momentum 63.9 NeMo-RL: momentum 87.7 Post-training & Alignment Post-trainn=14 med 49 Qwen-Image: momentum 11.8 Wan2.2: momentum 13.6 Fish Speech: momentum 15.1 Open-Sora: momentum 35.5 Stable Diffusion 3.5: momentum 45.1 ACE-Step: momentum 47.9 YuE: momentum 48.7 SkyReels-V2: momentum 49 Kokoro-82M: momentum 49.3 LTX-Video: momentum 50 FLUX.1: momentum 52.1 Sana: momentum 86.9 HunyuanVideo: momentum 87.8 Diffusers: momentum 90.3 Media Generation Median=14 med 51 GLM-V: momentum 5.8 SmolVLM: momentum 8.9 moondream: momentum 14.9 MiniCPM-V: momentum 21 Kimi-VL: momentum 39.1 DeepSeek-VL2: momentum 48.5 FastVLM: momentum 50.5 InternVL: momentum 52.5 Qwen3-VL: momentum 56.7 DeepSeek-OCR: momentum 57.9 LLaVA: momentum 58.2 Ovis2.5: momentum 77.9 Eagle 2.5: momentum 83.1 Multimodal Foundation Models Multimodaln=13 med 43 OSWorld: momentum 7.7 Browser Use: momentum 22.3 UI-TARS Desktop: momentum 35.9 ShowUI: momentum 43.2 Agent-E: momentum 44 Agent S: momentum 53.8 OmniParser: momentum 62.3 GUI & Computer-Use Agents GUIn=7 med 52 ECC: momentum 23.2 langchain: momentum 39.6 transformers: momentum 39.8 langflow: momentum 43.9 stable-diffusion-webui: momentum 48.7 superpowers: momentum 54.9 firecrawl: momentum 56.6 tensorflow: momentum 57.5 graphify: momentum 68.9 hermes-agent: momentum 96.5 Unassigned (AI-v1 census) Unassignedn=10
Robotics & Embodied AI median 50
AI Drug Discovery median 49
Coding Agents median 50
Inference & Serving median 51
Agent Frameworks median 51
Post-training & Alignment median 50
Media Generation median 49
Multimodal Foundation Models median 51
GUI & Computer-Use Agents median 43
Unassigned (AI-v1 census) median 52 convergence: 0 percent (0 of 143) 0% 0/143
convergence 0%
count 0 of 143 cross the gate
axis coverage: 16 percent (23 of 143) 16% 23/143
axis coverage 16%
count 23 of 143 have a measurable
Robotics & Embodied AI · 16 systems · 4 with citation axis AI for Science · 19 systems · 14 with citation axis AI Agents · 20 systems · 0 with citation axis AI Agents · 17 systems · 3 with citation axis AI Agents · 7 systems · 0 with citation axis AI Infrastructure · 13 systems · 1 with citation axis Foundation Models · 14 systems · 0 with citation axis Foundation Models · 13 systems · 1 with citation axis Multimodal & Media Generation · 14 systems · 0 with citation axis Unassigned · 10 systems · 0 with citation axis Known gaps
Closed-source systems. Private SaaS leaves few public, hard-to-game signals; this pilot tracks OSS / research-native systems where the data is rich and tamper-resistant.Systems without a paper. Several tracked systems (e.g. in coding agents) have no academic publication, so they have no citation axis and cannot, by construction, satisfy the two-axis gate. They appear as single-axis.New systems. Genuinely new (2024–25) systems lack the citation history to confirm momentum yet. Each weekly snapshot adds one data point. Confirmation arrives with time, not before it.Beyond AI. The taxonomy reserves room beyond AI; this pilot measures three AI frontiers only. The record gets stronger the longer it runs. Only a continuous baseline can catch a flare against its own past, and ours starts here.
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