Evidaxis

OpenCode

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · anomalyco/opencode
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): measured ×
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 84 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p84
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.98 within cohort, log-slope +0.018/wk.0+0.98
velocity z
+0.98 σ
slope
+0.018/wk
log-slope +0.018/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z
direct-dependents z gaugedirect-dependents z+0.57 within cohort, log-slope +0.045/point.0+0.57
direct-dependents z
+0.57 σ
slope
+0.045/point
Direct-dependents axis: measured.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
317.5
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
59.7
percentile p84
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks317.5/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 715 in a week, 26 active weeks, 6845 total.week 1: 479 commitsweek 2: 325 commitsweek 3: 255 commitsweek 4: 312 commitsweek 5: 209 commitsweek 6: 65 commitsweek 7: 381 commitsweek 8: 262 commitsweek 9: 142 commitsweek 10: 174 commitsweek 11: 130 commitsweek 12: 112 commitsweek 13: 121 commitsweek 14: 68 commitsweek 15: 115 commitsweek 16: 99 commitsweek 17: 77 commitsweek 18: 42 commitsweek 19: 296 commitsweek 20: 368 commitsweek 21: 325 commitsweek 22: 334 commitsweek 23: 331 commitsweek 24: 715 commitsweek 25: 634 commitsweek 26: 474 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
715
active
26
total
6845
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

OpenCode holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 59.7 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -8.75, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope -0.023, recent slope +0.201 per week. -0.023prior 39w+0.201recent 13w-8.75×
swing
-8.75×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.019 with 95% CI -0.053 to +0.015, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.01995% CI -0.053, +0.015-0.053+0.015
sharpe
-0.019
95% ci
-0.053, +0.015
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 50 (2026-10-24), slope change -115.914 commits per week.2026-10-24
date
week
50 of 52
Δslope
-115.914/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Measurement states

OpenCode is under weekly measurement. History: 19 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

anomalyco/opencode development-velocity axis
opencode.ai homepage

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: measured.

Coverage state
scored
Cohort z
+0.57
OLS slope
+0.045
Theil-Sen slope
+0.044
Latest direct dependents
2,310
Confirmed-clean points
29
Reconstructed history points
15
As-of partition
2026-10-19
Fragility veto
inactive
Rising vote
no

This axis measures the trajectory of a system's own packages: declared in its own tree, published under that name, and not attributed by deps.dev to another repository. A package with no repository link is unverified and stays. The self-name exclusion list is fixed at the v2h.1 panel. Systems with no admitted package are not measured on this axis. Points that cannot be derived exactly are withheld, and the series restarts after a withheld point.

The earliest weekly points of each series were read from deps.dev's BigQuery history on 2026-07-21; later points are weekly captures. m5 does not replay those partitions: each point is the stored system total, one package's unique_direct, or a complete sketch union, and a point that is not exact is withheld. Each record reports how many of its points are reconstructed history.

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_BTT9Q5KW4YN methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, OpenCode, entity e_BTT9Q5KW4YN, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_BTT9Q5KW4YN:m5:2026-11-07