Evidaxis

OpenCode

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · anomalyco/opencode
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): measured ×
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 68 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p68
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.64 within cohort, log-slope -0.042/wk.0+0.64
velocity z
+0.64 σ
slope
-0.042/wk
log-slope -0.042/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z
direct-dependents z gaugedirect-dependents z+0.52 within cohort, log-slope +0.051/point.0+0.52
direct-dependents z
+0.52 σ
slope
+0.051/point
Direct-dependents axis: measured.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
165
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
57.2
percentile p68
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks165/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 479 in a week, 26 active weeks, 5615 total.week 1: 280 commitsweek 2: 312 commitsweek 3: 309 commitsweek 4: 479 commitsweek 5: 325 commitsweek 6: 255 commitsweek 7: 312 commitsweek 8: 209 commitsweek 9: 65 commitsweek 10: 381 commitsweek 11: 262 commitsweek 12: 142 commitsweek 13: 174 commitsweek 14: 130 commitsweek 15: 112 commitsweek 16: 121 commitsweek 17: 68 commitsweek 18: 115 commitsweek 19: 99 commitsweek 20: 77 commitsweek 21: 42 commitsweek 22: 288 commitsweek 23: 368 commitsweek 24: 325 commitsweek 25: 335 commitsweek 26: 30 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
479
active
26
total
5615
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

OpenCode holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 57.2 of 100 on methodology m4, snapshot 2026-10-10, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -4.16, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope -0.009, recent slope +0.037 per week. -0.009prior 39w+0.037recent 13w-4.16×
swing
-4.16×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.036 with 95% CI -0.060 to -0.012, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.03695% CI -0.060, -0.012-0.060-0.012
sharpe
-0.036
95% ci
-0.060, -0.012
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Measurement states

OpenCode is under weekly measurement. History: 15 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

anomalyco/opencode development-velocity axis
opencode.ai homepage

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: measured.

Coverage state
scored
Cohort z
+0.52
OLS slope
+0.051
Theil-Sen slope
+0.050
Latest direct dependents
2,345
Confirmed-clean points
26
Reconstructed history points
15
As-of partition
2026-09-28
Fragility veto
inactive
Rising vote
no

This axis measures the trajectory of a system's own packages: declared in its own tree, published under that name, and not attributed by deps.dev to another repository. A package with no repository link is unverified and stays. The self-name exclusion list is fixed at the v2h.1 panel. Systems with no admitted package are not measured on this axis. Points that cannot be derived exactly are withheld, and the series restarts after a withheld point.

The earliest weekly points of each series were read from deps.dev's BigQuery history on 2026-07-21; later points are weekly captures. m4 does not replay those partitions: each point is the stored system total, one package's unique_direct, or a complete sketch union, and a point that is not exact is withheld. Each record reports how many of its points are reconstructed history.

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_BTT9Q5KW4YN methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, OpenCode, entity e_BTT9Q5KW4YN, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_BTT9Q5KW4YN:m4:2026-10-10