position in cohort distributionone of 20 in cohort
percentile
p89
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z
+1.00 σ
slope
+0.012/wk
log-slope +0.012/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
velocity z
+1.00
citation z
no axis
peers
19
single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.
citation z
∅no citation axis
no citation axis
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
85.4
rising trend
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
62.5
percentile p89
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks85.4/wk
weeks
26
peak/wk
179
active
26
total
2139
citations by yearno axis
∅no citation axisaxis status: absent
adoption2 dependents2 direct · npm/cline · deps.dev · adoption signal, not part of the momentum score
Cline holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 62.5 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Its development-velocity axis is rising within the cohort while a second independent axis has not converged, so it sits below the two-axis gate.
Derived signals
second-order reads, computed from the published series
Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state
until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number.
How these are computed.
swing
+6.11×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
sharpe
+0.018
95% ci
-0.000, +0.037
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
code-leads-citation lagreserved
reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation
status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
axis alpha vs cohortreserved
reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)
status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
gate ETAreserved
reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)
status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
methodology gate
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3
shipped
recency-swing
commit-sharpe
commit-changepoint
reserved
code-leads-citation-lag
axis-alpha
gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 ·· m2
Adoption trend
min
2 dependents
max
2 dependents
latest
2 dependents
points
6
Downstream packages depending on npm/cline (deps.dev), captured point-in-time each snapshot.
An adoption signal, not part of the momentum score.
Verdict
Cline is rising on development velocity, but a second independent axis has not yet converged. It is on watch.
Path to Rising: needs a second measurable axis to exist (no academic paper is currently tracked).