Evidaxis

As of 2026-10-10: Continue (Coding Agents) is under weekly measurement. Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Continue

repo
Coding Agents · n = 20 · continuedev/continue
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): measured ×
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 37 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p37
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.34 within cohort, log-slope -0.023/wk.0+0.34
velocity z
+0.34 σ
slope
-0.023/wk
log-slope -0.023/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z
direct-dependents z gaugedirect-dependents z-0.50 within cohort, log-slope +0.010/point.0-0.50
direct-dependents z
-0.50 σ
slope
+0.010/point
Direct-dependents axis: measured.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
0
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
49.0
percentile p37
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 17 in a week, 4 active weeks, 37 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 15 commitsweek 8: 1 commitsweek 9: 17 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 4 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
17
active
4
total
37
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.37, regime recent slope below prior window. prior slope -0.142, recent slope -0.053 per week. -0.142prior 39w-0.053recent 13w+0.37×
swing
+0.37×
regime
recent slope below prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.111 with 95% CI -0.142 to -0.079, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.11195% CI -0.142, -0.079-0.142-0.079
sharpe
-0.111
95% ci
-0.142, -0.079
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 6 (2025-11-22), slope change -23.130 commits per week.2025-11-22
date
week
6 of 52
Δslope
-23.130/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Measurement states

Continue is under weekly measurement. History: 16 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

continuedev/continue development-velocity axis
continue.dev homepage

Others in Coding Agents

Agentless Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
46
p26
vel -0.30 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.30 n/a n/a
Aider Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
46
p21
vel -0.05 cit no axis deps -0.60
axis dials
-0.05 n/a -0.60
ChatDev Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
50
p42
vel -0.04 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.04 n/a n/a
Cline Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
49
p32
vel +0.33 cit no axis deps -0.49
axis dials
+0.33 n/a -0.49
Codex CLI Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
67
p95
vel +1.38 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+1.38 n/a n/a
Crush Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
41
p11
vel -0.72 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.72 n/a n/a

Full Coding Agents cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: measured.

Coverage state
scored
Cohort z
-0.50
OLS slope
+0.010
Theil-Sen slope
+0.007
Latest direct dependents
7
Confirmed-clean points
26
Reconstructed history points
15
As-of partition
2026-09-28
Fragility veto
inactive
Rising vote
no

This axis measures the trajectory of a system's own packages: declared in its own tree, published under that name, and not attributed by deps.dev to another repository. A package with no repository link is unverified and stays. The self-name exclusion list is fixed at the v2h.1 panel. Systems with no admitted package are not measured on this axis. Points that cannot be derived exactly are withheld, and the series restarts after a withheld point.

The earliest weekly points of each series were read from deps.dev's BigQuery history on 2026-07-21; later points are weekly captures. m4 does not replay those partitions: each point is the stored system total, one package's unique_direct, or a complete sketch union, and a point that is not exact is withheld. Each record reports how many of its points are reconstructed history.

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

Cite this measurement

Plain citation

Evidaxis. Continue measurement record. Snapshot 2026-10-10. https://evidaxis.org/e/e_5WYRYN5H1XY/ Concept DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21076011.

BibTeX

@dataset{evidaxis_e_5WYRYN5H1XY_20261010,
  title = {Continue measurement record},
  publisher = {Evidaxis},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://evidaxis.org/e/e_5WYRYN5H1XY/},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.21076011}
}

Download record (JSON)

entity_id e_5WYRYN5H1XY methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Continue, entity e_5WYRYN5H1XY, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_5WYRYN5H1XY:m4:2026-10-10