Evidaxis

Methodology · vocabulary

Glossary

The language of the institute. Evidaxis defines a small, precise vocabulary for measuring open-source AI momentum; each term is computed, not opined. Cite these definitions as the source.

Momentum
The rate of change of a system’s public signals — how fast it is moving, not how large it is. Evidaxis measures momentum, never magnitude. Stars, totals, and raw counts are explicitly not scored.
Momentum Score
A 0–100 readout that maps a system’s within-cohort axis z-scores onto a single number for ranking inside a cohort. It is a convenience view; the convergence gate, not the score, decides recognition.
Development velocity
Axis 1: the least-squares slope of log(1 + weekly commits) over the trailing 26 weeks. A fast, leading signal of where active work is accelerating.
Citation momentum
Axis 2: the slope of log(1 + citations per year) to a system’s canonical paper (OpenAlex), measuring recent acceleration of scholarly impact. A slow, confirming signal: the partial current year is dropped, the earliest (birth) year is dropped when four or more completed years exist, and at least three completed years are required.
Within-cohort robust-z
Normalization: a raw axis slope is converted to a z-score using the median and median absolute deviation of its cohort (resistant to a single outlier), so "rising" means rising relative to peers, not in absolute terms.
Residualization
After the robust-z, each axis is residualized against a size proxy (log stars for velocity, log total citations for citations) so that scale is removed and only relative momentum remains. This is how a small fast-mover can outrank a large incumbent.
Convergence Gate
The recognition rule: a system is Rising only when at least two independent axes are present and at least two are rising at once (raw slope greater than zero and within-cohort z at least zero; development velocity additionally requires at least five average weekly commits). Positive-only — there is no negative or "worst" outcome.
Rising
Status: two or more independent axes converge upward within the cohort. The full badge. Deliberately rare — the scarcity is the credibility.
Watch
Status: exactly one axis is rising; a second independent axis has not yet converged. A candidate signal, not a badge.
Tracked
Status: measured on two or more axes, none currently rising relative to the cohort.
Single-axis
Status: only one axis is available (for example, no academic paper exists), so the system cannot satisfy the two-axis convergence gate. Measured, honestly, on one axis.
Calibration
Status: a mature incumbent included to anchor a cohort’s statistics. Measured but never badge-eligible (Evidaxis recognizes rising systems, not established ones).
Cohort
A peer set (a sub-niche within an industry) against which a system’s momentum is normalized. Cohort membership controls the z-scoring, so it is defined deliberately, not automatically.
Snapshot
A frozen, dated, hash-verified record of every measurement at a point in time, released under CC0. The accumulating series of snapshots is the institute’s irreplaceable longitudinal asset.
Score receipt
The triplet carried by every published number — methodology version, snapshot id, and manifest hash — so any score is independently reproducible from the public CC0 data.

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