Evidaxis

Codex CLI

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · openai/codex
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: rising vote Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
1 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 95 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p95
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+1.29 within cohort, log-slope +0.024/wk.0+1.29
velocity z
+1.29 σ
slope
+0.024/wk
log-slope +0.024/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
308.6
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
66.1
percentile p95
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks308.6/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 404 in a week, 26 active weeks, 6708 total.week 1: 240 commitsweek 2: 221 commitsweek 3: 183 commitsweek 4: 211 commitsweek 5: 242 commitsweek 6: 210 commitsweek 7: 268 commitsweek 8: 26 commitsweek 9: 197 commitsweek 10: 201 commitsweek 11: 278 commitsweek 12: 203 commitsweek 13: 236 commitsweek 14: 289 commitsweek 15: 351 commitsweek 16: 310 commitsweek 17: 301 commitsweek 18: 352 commitsweek 19: 355 commitsweek 20: 404 commitsweek 21: 281 commitsweek 22: 275 commitsweek 23: 190 commitsweek 24: 258 commitsweek 25: 304 commitsweek 26: 322 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
404
active
26
total
6708
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

Codex CLI holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 66.1 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -0.77, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope +0.021, recent slope -0.016 per week. +0.021prior 39w-0.016recent 13w-0.77×
swing
-0.77×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.040 with 95% CI +0.017 to +0.063, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.04095% CI +0.017, +0.063+0.017+0.063
sharpe
+0.040
95% ci
+0.017, +0.063
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 49 (2026-10-17), slope change +40.074 commits per week.2026-10-17
date
week
49 of 52
Δslope
+40.074/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Measurement states

Codex CLI is under weekly measurement. History: 17 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

openai/codex development-velocity axis

Others in Coding Agents

Agentless Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
62
p89
vel +0.94 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.94 n/a n/a
Aider Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p37
vel -0.26 cit no axis deps -0.67
axis dials
-0.26 n/a -0.67
ChatDev Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
52
p58
vel +0.17 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.17 n/a n/a
Cline Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p32
vel -0.35 cit no axis deps -0.61
axis dials
-0.35 n/a -0.61
Continue Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
38
p5
vel -0.95 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.95 n/a n/a
Crush Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
49
p42
vel -0.12 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.12 n/a n/a

Full Coding Agents cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
887
Confirmed-clean points
2
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_W2REDH3NZ0S methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Codex CLI, entity e_W2REDH3NZ0S, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_W2REDH3NZ0S:m5:2026-11-07