Evidaxis

Qwen Code

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · QwenLM/qwen-code
Watch · conf low
momentum
momentum 72.5 of 100 72.5 /100
momentum
72.5/100
pctile
p100
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent
gate
1 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

one axis passes
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 100 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p100
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+1.80 within cohort, log-slope +0.047/wk.0+1.80
velocity z
+1.80 σ
slope
+0.047/wk
log-slope +0.047/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
Qwen Code on the convergence plane Qwen Code at velocity z +1.80 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
+1.80
citation z
no axis
peers
19

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
207
rising trend
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
72.5
percentile p100
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks207/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 337 in a week, 26 active weeks, 4006 total.week 1: 103 commitsweek 2: 33 commitsweek 3: 93 commitsweek 4: 111 commitsweek 5: 148 commitsweek 6: 177 commitsweek 7: 119 commitsweek 8: 101 commitsweek 9: 215 commitsweek 10: 85 commitsweek 11: 85 commitsweek 12: 67 commitsweek 13: 93 commitsweek 14: 92 commitsweek 15: 110 commitsweek 16: 47 commitsweek 17: 73 commitsweek 18: 134 commitsweek 19: 247 commitsweek 20: 257 commitsweek 21: 214 commitsweek 22: 278 commitsweek 23: 279 commitsweek 24: 322 commitsweek 25: 337 commitsweek 26: 186 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
337
active
26
total
4006
citations by yearno axis
adoption 0 dependents 0 direct · npm/qwen-code · deps.dev · adoption signal, not part of the momentum score

Qwen Code holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 72.5 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Its development-velocity axis is rising within the cohort while a second independent axis has not converged, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +2.63, regime accelerating. prior slope +0.047, recent slope +0.125 per week. +0.047prior 39w+0.125recent 13w+2.63×
swing
+2.63×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.054 with 95% CI +0.014 to +0.094, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.05495% CI +0.014, +0.094+0.014+0.094
sharpe
+0.054
95% ci
+0.014, +0.094
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Adoption trend

Qwen Code dependents over time6 points, range 0 to 0 dependents.
min
0 dependents
max
0 dependents
latest
0 dependents
points
6

Downstream packages depending on npm/qwen-code (deps.dev), captured point-in-time each snapshot. An adoption signal, not part of the momentum score.

Verdict

Qwen Code is rising on development velocity, but a second independent axis has not yet converged. It is on watch.

Path to Rising: needs a second measurable axis to exist (no academic paper is currently tracked).

Sources

QwenLM/qwen-code development-velocity axis

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Evidaxis watch, Qwen Code
[![Evidaxis: Qwen Code](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_X33782S1M13/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_X33782S1M13)
entity_id e_X33782S1M13 methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Qwen Code, entity e_X33782S1M13, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_X33782S1M13:m2:2026-08-08