Evidaxis

Foldseek

repo
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · steineggerlab/foldseek
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: measured × Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 17 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p17
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.94 within cohort, log-slope -0.027/wk.0-2.94
velocity z
-2.94 σ
slope
-0.027/wk
log-slope -0.027/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+0.23 within cohort, log-slope +1.007/yr.0+0.23
citation z
+0.23 σ
slope
+1.007/yr
log-slope +1.007/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
2
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
2,508
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
33.0
percentile p17
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks2/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 18 in a week, 10 active weeks, 44 total.week 1: 7 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 3 commitsweek 6: 1 commitsweek 7: 2 commitsweek 8: 1 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 6 commitsweek 15: 18 commitsweek 16: 4 commitsweek 17: 1 commitsweek 18: 1 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
18
active
10
total
44
citations by yeartotal 2,508
Citations by year2012: 2, 2022: 42, 2023: 169, 2024: 515, 2025: 850, 2026: 930. Total 2508 citations.2012: 2 citations1222022: 42 citations22422023: 169 citations231692024: 515 citations245152025: 850 citations258502026: 930 citations26930
total cites
2508
years
6
latest yr
930

Foldseek holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 33.0 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +7.78, regime accelerating. prior slope -0.026, recent slope -0.199 per week. -0.026prior 39w-0.199recent 13w+7.78×
swing
+7.78×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.020 with 95% CI -0.044 to +0.005, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.02095% CI -0.044, +0.005-0.044+0.005
sharpe
-0.020
95% ci
-0.044, +0.005
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
6
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Measurement states

Foldseek is under weekly measurement. History: 19 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

steineggerlab/foldseek development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
78
p100
vel +2.77 cit +1.67 deps no axis
axis dials
+2.77 +1.67 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
27
p6
vel -1.86 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-1.86 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
22
p0
vel -2.21 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-2.21 n/a n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
65
p78
vel +1.18 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+1.18 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
32
p11
vel -3.20 cit -1.24 deps +0.00
axis dials
-3.20 -1.24 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p39
vel +0.03 cit -0.28 deps no axis
axis dials
+0.03 -0.28 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_R2TJDSZX29K methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Foldseek, entity e_R2TJDSZX29K, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_R2TJDSZX29K:m5:2026-11-07