Evidaxis

Foldseek

repo
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · steineggerlab/foldseek
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: measured × Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 17 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p17
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.59 within cohort, log-slope -0.004/wk.0-2.59
velocity z
-2.59 σ
slope
-0.004/wk
log-slope -0.004/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+0.80 within cohort, log-slope +1.486/yr.0+0.80
citation z
+0.80 σ
slope
+1.486/yr
log-slope +1.486/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
2.5
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
2,614
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
38.8
percentile p17
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks2.5/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 18 in a week, 11 active weeks, 45 total.week 1: 1 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 7 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 3 commitsweek 9: 1 commitsweek 10: 2 commitsweek 11: 1 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 6 commitsweek 18: 18 commitsweek 19: 4 commitsweek 20: 1 commitsweek 21: 1 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
18
active
11
total
45
citations by yeartotal 2,614
Citations by year2012: 2, 2021: 1, 2022: 47, 2023: 221, 2024: 622, 2025: 935, 2026: 786. Total 2614 citations.2012: 2 citations1222021: 1 citations2112022: 47 citations22472023: 221 citations232212024: 622 citations246222025: 935 citations259352026: 786 citations26786
total cites
2614
years
7
latest yr
786

Foldseek holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 38.8 of 100 on methodology m4, snapshot 2026-10-10, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +2.10, regime accelerating. prior slope -0.033, recent slope -0.069 per week. -0.033prior 39w-0.069recent 13w+2.10×
swing
+2.10×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.025 with 95% CI -0.050 to +0.001, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.02595% CI -0.050, +0.001-0.050+0.001
sharpe
-0.025
95% ci
-0.050, +0.001
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
7
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Measurement states

Foldseek is under weekly measurement. History: 15 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

steineggerlab/foldseek development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
49
p61
vel -0.81 cit +0.71 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.81 +0.71 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
58
p89
vel +0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.64 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
55
p78
vel -1.57 cit +2.44 deps no axis
axis dials
-1.57 +2.44 n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
42
p33
vel -0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.64 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
40
p22
vel -1.66 cit -0.73 deps +0.00
axis dials
-1.66 -0.73 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p50
vel -0.10 cit -0.28 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.10 -0.28 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_R2TJDSZX29K methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Foldseek, entity e_R2TJDSZX29K, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_R2TJDSZX29K:m4:2026-10-10