As of 2026-09-26: Boltz (AI Drug Discovery) is under weekly measurement. Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Boltz

Name: Evidaxis measurement: Boltz
Published: 2026-09-26
License: https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

repo

AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · boltz

2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium

convergence gate

gate: 1 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort

percentile: p28

momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable

velocity z

velocity z: -2.76 σ
slope: -0.008/wk

log-slope -0.008/wk

citation z

citation z: +2.04 σ
slope: +2.355/yr

log-slope +2.355/yr

direct-dependents z

∅no citation axis

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met.

cohort

systems measured

weekly commits

Development velocity axis: measured.

total citations

489

Citation axis: measured.

momentum

45.5

percentile p28

commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk

weeks: 26
peak/wk: 1
active: 2
total: 2

citations by yeartotal 489

total cites: 489
years: 4
latest yr: 251

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

swing: +0.00×
regime: recent slope below prior window
windows: 13w vs 39w

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks

date: 2026-05-30
week: 35 of 52
Δslope: -0.022/wk

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status: reserved
value: insufficient data

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status: reserved
value: insufficient data

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status: reserved
value: insufficient history

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

commit weeks: 52
citation years: 4
shipped: 2
reserved: 4

shipped

recency-swing
commit-changepoint

reserved

commit-sharpe
code-leads-citation-lag
axis-alpha
gate-eta

snapshot 1 of 1 · 2026-09-26 · m3

Measurement states

Boltz is under weekly measurement. History: 14 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

boltz development-velocity axis

OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery

2 of 3 axes measurable

p61

vel -0.23 cit +0.40 deps no axis

axis dials

n/a

BioEmu AI Drug Discovery

1 of 3 axes measurable

p100

vel +2.78 cit no axis deps no axis

axis dials

n/a n/a

Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery

1 of 3 axes measurable

vel -2.98 cit no axis deps no axis

axis dials

n/a n/a

DeepChem AI Drug Discovery

3 of 3 axes measurable

p83

vel +3.38 cit -0.73 deps +0.00

axis dials

DiffDock AI Drug Discovery

2 of 3 axes measurable

p44

vel -0.05 cit -0.35 deps no axis

axis dials

n/a

DiffSBDD AI Drug Discovery

1 of 3 axes measurable

p22

vel -0.36 cit no axis deps no axis

axis dials

n/a n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state: below_floor
Cohort z: no axis
OLS slope: n/a
Theil-Sen slope: n/a
Latest direct dependents: 2
Confirmed-clean points: 23
Reconstructed history points: n/a
As-of partition: n/a
Fragility veto: n/a
Rising vote: no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

Cite this measurement

Plain citation

Evidaxis. Boltz measurement record. Snapshot 2026-09-26. https://evidaxis.org/e/e_9VD4D2XPK7H/ Concept DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21076011.

BibTeX

@dataset{evidaxis_e_9VD4D2XPK7H_20260926,
  title = {Boltz measurement record},
  publisher = {Evidaxis},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://evidaxis.org/e/e_9VD4D2XPK7H/},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.21076011}
}

Download record (JSON)

entity_id e_9VD4D2XPK7H methodology m3 snapshot 9d2fe956adbc period 2026-w39 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m3, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Boltz, entity e_9VD4D2XPK7H, snapshot 2026-w39.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_9VD4D2XPK7H:m3:2026-09-26