Evidaxis

As of 2026-10-10: Boltz (AI Drug Discovery) is under weekly measurement. Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Boltz

repo
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · boltz
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: rising vote Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
1 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 78 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p78
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-1.57 within cohort, log-slope -0.004/wk.0-1.57
velocity z
-1.57 σ
slope
-0.004/wk
log-slope -0.004/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+2.44 within cohort, log-slope +2.315/yr.0+2.44
citation z
+2.44 σ
slope
+2.315/yr
log-slope +2.315/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
0
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
480
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
55.4
percentile p78
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 1 in a week, 1 active weeks, 1 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 1 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
1
active
1
total
1
citations by yeartotal 480
Citations by year2023: 1, 2024: 10, 2025: 204, 2026: 265. Total 480 citations.2023: 1 citations2312024: 10 citations24102025: 204 citations252042026: 265 citations26265
total cites
480
years
4
latest yr
265

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.00, regime recent slope below prior window. prior slope +0.002, recent slope +0.000 per week. +0.002prior 39w+0.000recent 13w+0.00×
swing
+0.00×
regime
recent slope below prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 21 (2026-03-07), slope change -0.020 commits per week.2026-03-07
date
week
21 of 52
Δslope
-0.020/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
4
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Measurement states

Boltz is under weekly measurement. History: 16 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

boltz development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
49
p61
vel -0.81 cit +0.71 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.81 +0.71 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
58
p89
vel +0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.64 n/a n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
42
p33
vel -0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.64 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
40
p22
vel -1.66 cit -0.73 deps +0.00
axis dials
-1.66 -0.73 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p50
vel -0.10 cit -0.28 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.10 -0.28 n/a
DiffSBDD AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
41
p28
vel -0.70 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.70 n/a n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
2
Confirmed-clean points
26
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

Cite this measurement

Plain citation

Evidaxis. Boltz measurement record. Snapshot 2026-10-10. https://evidaxis.org/e/e_9VD4D2XPK7H/ Concept DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21076011.

BibTeX

@dataset{evidaxis_e_9VD4D2XPK7H_20261010,
  title = {Boltz measurement record},
  publisher = {Evidaxis},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://evidaxis.org/e/e_9VD4D2XPK7H/},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.21076011}
}

Download record (JSON)

entity_id e_9VD4D2XPK7H methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Boltz, entity e_9VD4D2XPK7H, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_9VD4D2XPK7H:m4:2026-10-10