Evidaxis

Mooncake

repo
Inference & Serving · n = 14 · kvcache-ai/Mooncake
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 14 in cohort
percentile 54 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p54
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.08 within cohort, log-slope +0.028/wk.0+0.08
velocity z
+0.08 σ
slope
+0.028/wk
log-slope +0.028/wk
citation z Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
14
systems measured
weekly commits
67.4
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
momentum
51.0
percentile p54
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks67.4/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 94 in a week, 26 active weeks, 1484 total.week 1: 25 commitsweek 2: 32 commitsweek 3: 34 commitsweek 4: 43 commitsweek 5: 55 commitsweek 6: 45 commitsweek 7: 52 commitsweek 8: 44 commitsweek 9: 45 commitsweek 10: 61 commitsweek 11: 51 commitsweek 12: 53 commitsweek 13: 69 commitsweek 14: 66 commitsweek 15: 56 commitsweek 16: 63 commitsweek 17: 71 commitsweek 18: 94 commitsweek 19: 91 commitsweek 20: 52 commitsweek 21: 44 commitsweek 22: 36 commitsweek 23: 74 commitsweek 24: 70 commitsweek 25: 90 commitsweek 26: 68 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
94
active
26
total
1484
citations by yearCitation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).

Mooncake holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 51.0 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the Inference & Serving cohort (n = 14). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.07, regime recent slope below prior window. prior slope +0.037, recent slope +0.002 per week. +0.037prior 39w+0.002recent 13w+0.07×
swing
+0.07×
regime
recent slope below prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.086 with 95% CI +0.067 to +0.105, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.08695% CI +0.067, +0.105+0.067+0.105
sharpe
+0.086
95% ci
+0.067, +0.105
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
3
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Reconstructed history

Mooncake reconstructed weekly commits52 points, range 1 to 94 commits/wk.
min
1 commits/wk
max
94 commits/wk
latest
9 commits/wk
points
52

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

Mooncake is under weekly measurement. History: 19 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations). Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

kvcache-ai/Mooncake development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in Inference & Serving

AIBrix Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
58
p85
vel +0.66 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.66 n/a n/a
FlashInfer Inference & Serving
2 of 3 axes measurable
63
p100
vel +2.70 cit no axis deps -0.67
axis dials
+2.70 n/a -0.67
KTransformers Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
42
p23
vel -0.66 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.66 n/a n/a
llama.cpp Inference & Serving
2 of 3 axes measurable
55
p77
vel +0.01 cit no axis deps +0.77
axis dials
+0.01 n/a +0.77
llm-d Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
41
p8
vel -0.73 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.73 n/a n/a
LMCache Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
49
p46
vel -0.11 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.11 n/a n/a

Full Inference & Serving cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
0
Confirmed-clean points
29
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_N2RFM19TP1D methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Mooncake, entity e_N2RFM19TP1D, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_N2RFM19TP1D:m5:2026-11-07