Evidaxis

Mooncake

repo
Inference & Serving · n = 13 · kvcache-ai/Mooncake
Watch · conf low
momentum
momentum 63.2 of 100 63.2 /100
momentum
63.2/100
pctile
p100
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent ∅
gate
1 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

one axis passes
position in cohort distribution one of 13 in cohort
percentile 100 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p100
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+1.05 within cohort, log-slope +0.062/wk.0+1.05
velocity z
+1.05 σ
slope
+0.062/wk
log-slope +0.062/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
Mooncake on the convergence plane Mooncake at velocity z +1.05 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
+1.05
citation z
no axis
peers
12

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
13
systems measured
weekly commits
48.5
rising trend
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
63.2
percentile p100
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks48.5/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 67 in a week, 26 active weeks, 915 total.week 1: 21 commitsweek 2: 1 commitsweek 3: 29 commitsweek 4: 18 commitsweek 5: 27 commitsweek 6: 26 commitsweek 7: 27 commitsweek 8: 29 commitsweek 9: 24 commitsweek 10: 25 commitsweek 11: 25 commitsweek 12: 26 commitsweek 13: 30 commitsweek 14: 25 commitsweek 15: 32 commitsweek 16: 34 commitsweek 17: 43 commitsweek 18: 55 commitsweek 19: 45 commitsweek 20: 52 commitsweek 21: 44 commitsweek 22: 45 commitsweek 23: 61 commitsweek 24: 51 commitsweek 25: 53 commitsweek 26: 67 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
67
active
26
total
915
citations by yearno axis

Mooncake holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 63.2 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Inference & Serving cohort (n = 13). Its development-velocity axis is rising within the cohort while a second independent axis has not converged, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +2.36, regime accelerating. prior slope +0.024, recent slope +0.057 per week. +0.024prior 39w+0.057recent 13w+2.36×
swing
+2.36×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.076 with 95% CI +0.057 to +0.095, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.07695% CI +0.057, +0.095+0.057+0.095
sharpe
+0.076
95% ci
+0.057, +0.095
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 50 (2026-07-25), slope change +7.226 commits per week.2026-07-25
date
week
50 of 52
Δslope
+7.226/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Verdict

Mooncake is rising on development velocity, but a second independent axis has not yet converged. It is on watch.

Path to Rising: needs its citation history to mature (at least 3 completed years) and rise.

Sources

kvcache-ai/Mooncake development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Embed this badge

Evidaxis watch, Mooncake
[![Evidaxis: Mooncake](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_N2RFM19TP1D/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_N2RFM19TP1D)

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52
p67
vel +0.15 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.15 n/a
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36
p8
vel -1.12 cit no axis
axis dials
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p58
vel +0.07 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.07 n/a
llm-d Inference & Serving
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37
p17
vel -1.01 cit no axis
axis dials
-1.01 n/a
LMCache Inference & Serving
Single-axis
51
p50
vel +0.04 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.04 n/a
LMDeploy Inference & Serving
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46
p33
vel -0.34 cit no axis
axis dials
-0.34 n/a

Full Inference & Serving cohort →

entity_id e_N2RFM19TP1D methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Mooncake, entity e_N2RFM19TP1D, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_N2RFM19TP1D:m2:2026-08-08