Evidaxis

Mooncake

repo
Inference & Serving · n = 13 · kvcache-ai/Mooncake
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: rising vote Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
1 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 13 in cohort
percentile 100 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p100
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+1.59 within cohort, log-slope +0.048/wk.0+1.59
velocity z
+1.59 σ
slope
+0.048/wk
log-slope +0.048/wk
citation z Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
13
systems measured
weekly commits
64.3
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
momentum
69.9
percentile p100
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks64.3/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 94 in a week, 26 active weeks, 1261 total.week 1: 29 commitsweek 2: 24 commitsweek 3: 25 commitsweek 4: 25 commitsweek 5: 26 commitsweek 6: 30 commitsweek 7: 25 commitsweek 8: 32 commitsweek 9: 34 commitsweek 10: 43 commitsweek 11: 55 commitsweek 12: 45 commitsweek 13: 52 commitsweek 14: 44 commitsweek 15: 45 commitsweek 16: 61 commitsweek 17: 51 commitsweek 18: 53 commitsweek 19: 69 commitsweek 20: 66 commitsweek 21: 56 commitsweek 22: 63 commitsweek 23: 71 commitsweek 24: 94 commitsweek 25: 91 commitsweek 26: 52 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
94
active
26
total
1261
citations by yearCitation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).

Mooncake holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 69.9 of 100 on methodology m3, snapshot 2026-09-26, measured within the Inference & Serving cohort (n = 13). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +1.04, regime steady. prior slope +0.038, recent slope +0.040 per week. +0.038prior 39w+0.040recent 13w+1.04×
swing
+1.04×
regime
steady
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.100 with 95% CI +0.082 to +0.118, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.10095% CI +0.082, +0.118+0.082+0.118
sharpe
+0.100
95% ci
+0.082, +0.118
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 50 (2026-09-12), slope change -22.151 commits per week.2026-09-12
date
week
50 of 52
Δslope
-22.151/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3

Reconstructed history

Mooncake reconstructed weekly commits52 points, range 1 to 94 commits/wk.
min
1 commits/wk
max
94 commits/wk
latest
9 commits/wk
points
52

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

Mooncake is under weekly measurement. History: 13 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations). Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

kvcache-ai/Mooncake development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in Inference & Serving

AIBrix Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
59
p83
vel +0.71 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.71 n/a n/a
KTransformers Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
31
p8
vel -1.54 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-1.54 n/a n/a
llama.cpp Inference & Serving
2 of 3 axes measurable
50
p67
vel -0.17 cit no axis deps +0.22
axis dials
-0.17 n/a +0.22
llm-d Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
37
p17
vel -1.08 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-1.08 n/a n/a
LMCache Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
50
p58
vel +0.01 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.01 n/a n/a
LMDeploy Inference & Serving
1 of 3 axes measurable
50
p50
vel +0.00 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.00 n/a n/a

Full Inference & Serving cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 clean points and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
0
Confirmed-clean points
23
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_N2RFM19TP1D methodology m3 snapshot 9d2fe956adbc period 2026-w39 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m3, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Mooncake, entity e_N2RFM19TP1D, snapshot 2026-w39.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_N2RFM19TP1D:m3:2026-09-26