Evidaxis

ESM / ESMFold

repo reference measurement
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · facebookresearch/esm
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — reference measurement Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: measured × Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Gate: not computable — reference measurement
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 72 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p72
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.23 within cohort, log-slope +0.000/wk.0+0.23
velocity z
+0.23 σ
slope
+0.000/wk
log-slope +0.000/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+0.48 within cohort, log-slope +1.632/yr.0+0.48
citation z
+0.48 σ
slope
+1.632/yr
log-slope +1.632/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
0
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
6,142
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
54.5
percentile p72
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 0 in a week, 0 active weeks, 0 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
0
active
0
total
0
citations by yeartotal 6,142
Citations by year2012: 3, 2013: 1, 2020: 1, 2022: 53, 2023: 737, 2024: 1505, 2025: 2040, 2026: 1802. Total 6142 citations.2012: 3 citations1232013: 1 citations1312020: 1 citations2012022: 53 citations22532023: 737 citations237372024: 1505 citations2415052025: 2040 citations2520402026: 1802 citations261802
total cites
6142
years
8
latest yr
1802

ESM / ESMFold holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 54.5 of 100 on methodology m3, snapshot 2026-09-26, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.00, regime flat. prior slope +0.000, recent slope +0.000 per week. +0.000prior 39w+0.000recent 13w+0.00×
swing
+0.00×
regime
flat
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit weeks
52
citation years
8
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3

Measurement states

ESM / ESMFold is under weekly measurement. History: 14 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Sources

facebookresearch/esm development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
51
p61
vel -0.23 cit +0.40 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.23 +0.40 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
85
p100
vel +2.78 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+2.78 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
46
p28
vel -2.76 cit +2.04 deps no axis
axis dials
-2.76 +2.04 n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
13
p0
vel -2.98 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-2.98 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
61
p83
vel +3.38 cit -0.73 deps +0.00
axis dials
+3.38 -0.73 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p44
vel -0.05 cit -0.35 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.05 -0.35 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_W8KZKY27BTN methodology m3 snapshot 9d2fe956adbc period 2026-w39 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m3, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, ESM / ESMFold, entity e_W8KZKY27BTN, snapshot 2026-w39.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_W8KZKY27BTN:m3:2026-09-26