Evidaxis

ESM / ESMFold

repo reference measurement
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · facebookresearch/esm
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — reference measurement Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: rising vote Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
1 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Gate: not computable — reference measurement
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 67 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p67
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-0.12 within cohort, log-slope +0.000/wk.0-0.12
velocity z
-0.12 σ
slope
+0.000/wk
log-slope +0.000/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+1.24 within cohort, log-slope +1.820/yr.0+1.24
citation z
+1.24 σ
slope
+1.820/yr
log-slope +1.820/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
0
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
11,270
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
57.0
percentile p67
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 0 in a week, 0 active weeks, 0 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
0
active
0
total
0
citations by yeartotal 11,270
Citations by year2012: 6, 2013: 2, 2022: 38, 2023: 910, 2024: 2248, 2025: 3542, 2026: 4524. Total 11270 citations.2012: 6 citations1262013: 2 citations1322022: 38 citations22382023: 910 citations239102024: 2248 citations2422482025: 3542 citations2535422026: 4524 citations264524
total cites
11270
years
7
latest yr
4524

ESM / ESMFold holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 57.0 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.00, regime flat. prior slope +0.000, recent slope +0.000 per week. +0.000prior 39w+0.000recent 13w+0.00×
swing
+0.00×
regime
flat
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
7
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Measurement states

ESM / ESMFold is under weekly measurement. History: 20 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Sources

facebookresearch/esm development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
78
p100
vel +2.77 cit +1.67 deps no axis
axis dials
+2.77 +1.67 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
27
p6
vel -1.86 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-1.86 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
22
p0
vel -2.21 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-2.21 n/a n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
65
p78
vel +1.18 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+1.18 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
32
p11
vel -3.20 cit -1.24 deps +0.00
axis dials
-3.20 -1.24 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p39
vel +0.03 cit -0.28 deps no axis
axis dials
+0.03 -0.28 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
64
Confirmed-clean points
1
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_W8KZKY27BTN methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, ESM / ESMFold, entity e_W8KZKY27BTN, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_W8KZKY27BTN:m5:2026-11-07