Evidaxis

ESM / ESMFold

repo reference measurement
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · facebookresearch/esm
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — reference measurement Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: measured × Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Gate: not computable — reference measurement
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 83 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p83
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.44 within cohort, log-slope +0.000/wk.0+0.44
velocity z
+0.44 σ
slope
+0.000/wk
log-slope +0.000/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+0.76 within cohort, log-slope +1.606/yr.0+0.76
citation z
+0.76 σ
slope
+1.606/yr
log-slope +1.606/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
0
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
5,517
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
57.5
percentile p83
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 0 in a week, 0 active weeks, 0 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
0
active
0
total
0
citations by yeartotal 5,517
Citations by year2012: 3, 2013: 1, 2020: 1, 2022: 30, 2023: 528, 2024: 1215, 2025: 1848, 2026: 1891. Total 5517 citations.2012: 3 citations1232013: 1 citations1312020: 1 citations2012022: 30 citations22302023: 528 citations235282024: 1215 citations2412152025: 1848 citations2518482026: 1891 citations261891
total cites
5517
years
8
latest yr
1891

ESM / ESMFold holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 57.5 of 100 on methodology m4, snapshot 2026-10-10, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.00, regime flat. prior slope +0.000, recent slope +0.000 per week. +0.000prior 39w+0.000recent 13w+0.00×
swing
+0.00×
regime
flat
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
8
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Measurement states

ESM / ESMFold is under weekly measurement. History: 16 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured. Gate: not computable — reference measurement

Sources

facebookresearch/esm development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
49
p61
vel -0.81 cit +0.71 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.81 +0.71 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
58
p89
vel +0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.64 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
55
p78
vel -1.57 cit +2.44 deps no axis
axis dials
-1.57 +2.44 n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
42
p33
vel -0.64 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.64 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
40
p22
vel -1.66 cit -0.73 deps +0.00
axis dials
-1.66 -0.73 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p50
vel -0.10 cit -0.28 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.10 -0.28 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_W8KZKY27BTN methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, ESM / ESMFold, entity e_W8KZKY27BTN, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_W8KZKY27BTN:m4:2026-10-10