Evidaxis

Gemini CLI

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · google-gemini/gemini-cli
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): measured ×
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 47 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p47
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.87 within cohort, log-slope +0.012/wk.0+0.87
velocity z
+0.87 σ
slope
+0.012/wk
log-slope +0.012/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z
direct-dependents z gaugedirect-dependents z-0.96 within cohort, log-slope +0.009/point.0-0.96
direct-dependents z
-0.96 σ
slope
+0.009/point
Direct-dependents axis: measured.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
19.4
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
49.4
percentile p47
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks19.4/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 67 in a week, 26 active weeks, 493 total.week 1: 67 commitsweek 2: 49 commitsweek 3: 11 commitsweek 4: 9 commitsweek 5: 11 commitsweek 6: 15 commitsweek 7: 12 commitsweek 8: 4 commitsweek 9: 13 commitsweek 10: 9 commitsweek 11: 12 commitsweek 12: 12 commitsweek 13: 23 commitsweek 14: 13 commitsweek 15: 17 commitsweek 16: 7 commitsweek 17: 11 commitsweek 18: 9 commitsweek 19: 16 commitsweek 20: 16 commitsweek 21: 19 commitsweek 22: 22 commitsweek 23: 25 commitsweek 24: 25 commitsweek 25: 35 commitsweek 26: 31 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
67
active
26
total
493
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

Gemini CLI holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 49.4 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -1.55, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope -0.061, recent slope +0.095 per week. -0.061prior 39w+0.095recent 13w-1.55×
swing
-1.55×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.062 with 95% CI -0.113 to -0.011, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.06295% CI -0.113, -0.011-0.113-0.011
sharpe
-0.062
95% ci
-0.113, -0.011
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Reconstructed history

Gemini CLI reconstructed weekly commits51 points, range 4 to 195 commits/wk.
min
4 commits/wk
max
195 commits/wk
latest
16 commits/wk
points
51

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

Gemini CLI is under weekly measurement. History: 19 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

google-gemini/gemini-cli development-velocity axis
geminicli.com homepage

Others in Coding Agents

Agentless Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
62
p89
vel +0.94 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.94 n/a n/a
Aider Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p37
vel -0.26 cit no axis deps -0.67
axis dials
-0.26 n/a -0.67
ChatDev Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
52
p58
vel +0.17 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.17 n/a n/a
Cline Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p32
vel -0.35 cit no axis deps -0.61
axis dials
-0.35 n/a -0.61
Codex CLI Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
66
p95
vel +1.29 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+1.29 n/a n/a
Continue Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
38
p5
vel -0.95 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.95 n/a n/a

Full Coding Agents cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: measured.

Coverage state
scored
Cohort z
-0.96
OLS slope
+0.009
Theil-Sen slope
+0.006
Latest direct dependents
70
Confirmed-clean points
29
Reconstructed history points
15
As-of partition
2026-10-19
Fragility veto
inactive
Rising vote
no

This axis measures the trajectory of a system's own packages: declared in its own tree, published under that name, and not attributed by deps.dev to another repository. A package with no repository link is unverified and stays. The self-name exclusion list is fixed at the v2h.1 panel. Systems with no admitted package are not measured on this axis. Points that cannot be derived exactly are withheld, and the series restarts after a withheld point.

The earliest weekly points of each series were read from deps.dev's BigQuery history on 2026-07-21; later points are weekly captures. m5 does not replay those partitions: each point is the stored system total, one package's unique_direct, or a complete sketch union, and a point that is not exact is withheld. Each record reports how many of its points are reconstructed history.

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_4A9TG2M8403 methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Gemini CLI, entity e_4A9TG2M8403, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_4A9TG2M8403:m5:2026-11-07