Evidaxis

Gemini CLI

product
Coding Agents · n = 20 · google-gemini/gemini-cli
Single-axis · conf low
momentum
momentum 16.6 of 100 16.6 /100
momentum
16.6/100
pctile
p5
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent × ∅
gate
0 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

gate shut
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 5 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p5
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.67 within cohort, log-slope -0.136/wk.0-2.67
velocity z
-2.67 σ
slope
-0.136/wk
log-slope -0.136/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
Gemini CLI on the convergence plane Gemini CLI at velocity z -2.67 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
-2.67
citation z
no axis
peers
19

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
15
not rising
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
16.6
percentile p5
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks15/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 195 in a week, 26 active weeks, 1866 total.week 1: 163 commitsweek 2: 136 commitsweek 3: 158 commitsweek 4: 159 commitsweek 5: 195 commitsweek 6: 129 commitsweek 7: 153 commitsweek 8: 134 commitsweek 9: 108 commitsweek 10: 60 commitsweek 11: 48 commitsweek 12: 91 commitsweek 13: 85 commitsweek 14: 67 commitsweek 15: 49 commitsweek 16: 11 commitsweek 17: 9 commitsweek 18: 11 commitsweek 19: 15 commitsweek 20: 12 commitsweek 21: 4 commitsweek 22: 13 commitsweek 23: 9 commitsweek 24: 12 commitsweek 25: 12 commitsweek 26: 23 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
195
active
26
total
1866
citations by yearno axis

Gemini CLI holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 16.6 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). No axis is currently rising within the cohort, and no second (citation) axis is available, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +43.97, regime accelerating. prior slope -0.002, recent slope -0.074 per week. -0.002prior 39w-0.074recent 13w+43.97×
swing
+43.97×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.059 with 95% CI -0.112 to -0.006, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.05995% CI -0.112, -0.006-0.112-0.006
sharpe
-0.059
95% ci
-0.112, -0.006
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 31 (2026-03-14), slope change -8.129 commits per week.2026-03-14
date
week
31 of 52
Δslope
-8.129/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Verdict

Gemini CLI is tracked. No axis is currently rising relative to its cohort, and it has no second (citation) axis available.

Path to Rising: needs development velocity to turn positive within its cohort; a second measurable axis to exist (no academic paper is currently tracked).

Sources

google-gemini/gemini-cli development-velocity axis
geminicli.com homepage

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Evidaxis single-axis, Gemini CLI
[![Evidaxis: Gemini CLI](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_4A9TG2M8403/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_4A9TG2M8403)

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Full Coding Agents cohort →

entity_id e_4A9TG2M8403 methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Gemini CLI, entity e_4A9TG2M8403, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_4A9TG2M8403:m2:2026-08-08