Evidaxis

RFdiffusion

repo
AI Drug Discovery · n = 19 · RosettaCommons/RFdiffusion
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: measured × Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 19 in cohort
percentile 11 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p11
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.86 within cohort, log-slope -0.010/wk.0-2.86
velocity z
-2.86 σ
slope
-0.010/wk
log-slope -0.010/wk
citation z
citation z gaugecitation z+0.07 within cohort, log-slope +1.033/yr.0+0.07
citation z
+0.07 σ
slope
+1.033/yr
log-slope +1.033/yr
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.
cohort
19
systems measured
weekly commits
0.1
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
2,270
Citation axis: measured.
momentum
32.6
percentile p11
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0.1/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 5 in a week, 2 active weeks, 6 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 5 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 1 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
5
active
2
total
6
citations by yeartotal 2,270
Citations by year2022: 1, 2023: 105, 2024: 508, 2025: 836, 2026: 820. Total 2270 citations.2022: 1 citations2212023: 105 citations231052024: 508 citations245082025: 836 citations258362026: 820 citations26820
total cites
2270
years
5
latest yr
820

RFdiffusion holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 32.6 of 100 on methodology m3, snapshot 2026-09-26, measured within the AI Drug Discovery cohort (n = 19). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.70, regime recent slope below prior window. prior slope -0.022, recent slope -0.015 per week. -0.022prior 39w-0.015recent 13w+0.70×
swing
+0.70×
regime
recent slope below prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 5 (2025-11-01), slope change -3.105 commits per week.2025-11-01
date
week
5 of 52
Δslope
-3.105/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit weeks
52
citation years
5
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3

Measurement states

RFdiffusion is under weekly measurement. History: 13 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: measured. Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

RosettaCommons/RFdiffusion development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in AI Drug Discovery

AlphaFold3 AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
51
p61
vel -0.23 cit +0.40 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.23 +0.40 n/a
BioEmu AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
85
p100
vel +2.78 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+2.78 n/a n/a
Boltz AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
46
p28
vel -2.76 cit +2.04 deps no axis
axis dials
-2.76 +2.04 n/a
Chai-1 AI Drug Discovery
1 of 3 axes measurable
13
p0
vel -2.98 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-2.98 n/a n/a
DeepChem AI Drug Discovery
3 of 3 axes measurable
61
p83
vel +3.38 cit -0.73 deps +0.00
axis dials
+3.38 -0.73 +0.00
DiffDock AI Drug Discovery
2 of 3 axes measurable
48
p44
vel -0.05 cit -0.35 deps no axis
axis dials
-0.05 -0.35 n/a

Full AI Drug Discovery cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_QV8QGGHJCSS methodology m3 snapshot 9d2fe956adbc period 2026-w39 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m3, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, RFdiffusion, entity e_QV8QGGHJCSS, snapshot 2026-w39.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_QV8QGGHJCSS:m3:2026-09-26