Evidaxis

OpenHands

repo
Coding Agents · n = 20 · OpenHands/OpenHands
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 58 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p58
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.13 within cohort, log-slope -0.045/wk.0+0.13
velocity z
+0.13 σ
slope
-0.045/wk
log-slope -0.045/wk
citation z Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
52.5
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
momentum
51.7
percentile p58
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks52.5/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 186 in a week, 26 active weeks, 2007 total.week 1: 89 commitsweek 2: 118 commitsweek 3: 129 commitsweek 4: 186 commitsweek 5: 134 commitsweek 6: 97 commitsweek 7: 120 commitsweek 8: 116 commitsweek 9: 79 commitsweek 10: 70 commitsweek 11: 49 commitsweek 12: 79 commitsweek 13: 38 commitsweek 14: 73 commitsweek 15: 42 commitsweek 16: 46 commitsweek 17: 34 commitsweek 18: 50 commitsweek 19: 40 commitsweek 20: 27 commitsweek 21: 32 commitsweek 22: 99 commitsweek 23: 67 commitsweek 24: 39 commitsweek 25: 124 commitsweek 26: 30 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
186
active
26
total
2007
citations by yearCitation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).

OpenHands holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 51.7 of 100 on methodology m4, snapshot 2026-10-10, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.52, regime recent slope below prior window. prior slope +0.028, recent slope +0.014 per week. +0.028prior 39w+0.014recent 13w+0.52×
swing
+0.52×
regime
recent slope below prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.019 with 95% CI -0.011 to +0.049, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0+0.01995% CI -0.011, +0.049-0.011+0.049
sharpe
+0.019
95% ci
-0.011, +0.049
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Reconstructed history

OpenHands reconstructed weekly commits51 points, range 20 to 186 commits/wk.
min
20 commits/wk
max
186 commits/wk
latest
99 commits/wk
points
51

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

OpenHands is under weekly measurement. History: 16 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations). Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

OpenHands/OpenHands development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
2
Confirmed-clean points
19
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_ADRWZ5YBESZ methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, OpenHands, entity e_ADRWZ5YBESZ, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_ADRWZ5YBESZ:m4:2026-10-10