Evidaxis

Goose

repo
Coding Agents · n = 20 · aaif-goose/goose
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 20 in cohort
percentile 16 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p16
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-0.73 within cohort, log-slope -0.032/wk.0-0.73
velocity z
-0.73 σ
slope
-0.032/wk
log-slope -0.032/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.
cohort
20
systems measured
weekly commits
48.2
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
40.8
percentile p16
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks48.2/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 123 in a week, 26 active weeks, 1527 total.week 1: 117 commitsweek 2: 90 commitsweek 3: 33 commitsweek 4: 33 commitsweek 5: 29 commitsweek 6: 117 commitsweek 7: 74 commitsweek 8: 71 commitsweek 9: 54 commitsweek 10: 77 commitsweek 11: 31 commitsweek 12: 87 commitsweek 13: 59 commitsweek 14: 76 commitsweek 15: 123 commitsweek 16: 73 commitsweek 17: 65 commitsweek 18: 50 commitsweek 19: 41 commitsweek 20: 31 commitsweek 21: 38 commitsweek 22: 38 commitsweek 23: 38 commitsweek 24: 36 commitsweek 25: 30 commitsweek 26: 16 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
123
active
26
total
1527
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

Goose holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 40.8 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-11-07, measured within the Coding Agents cohort (n = 20). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -12.03, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope +0.010, recent slope -0.115 per week. +0.010prior 39w-0.115recent 13w-12.03×
swing
-12.03×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.007 with 95% CI -0.036 to +0.022, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.00795% CI -0.036, +0.022-0.036+0.022
sharpe
-0.007
95% ci
-0.036, +0.022
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 4 (2025-12-06), slope change +12.116 commits per week.2025-12-06
date
week
4 of 52
Δslope
+12.116/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Reconstructed history

Goose reconstructed weekly commits51 points, range 16 to 123 commits/wk.
min
16 commits/wk
max
123 commits/wk
latest
41 commits/wk
points
51

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

Goose is under weekly measurement. History: 19 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

aaif-goose/goose development-velocity axis

Others in Coding Agents

Agentless Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
62
p89
vel +0.94 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.94 n/a n/a
Aider Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p37
vel -0.26 cit no axis deps -0.67
axis dials
-0.26 n/a -0.67
ChatDev Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
52
p58
vel +0.17 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.17 n/a n/a
Cline Coding Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
44
p32
vel -0.35 cit no axis deps -0.61
axis dials
-0.35 n/a -0.61
Codex CLI Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
66
p95
vel +1.29 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+1.29 n/a n/a
Continue Coding Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
38
p5
vel -0.95 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.95 n/a n/a

Full Coding Agents cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: minimum of 14 usable points of the new quantity and 5 latest dependents not met.

Coverage state
below_floor
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
2
Confirmed-clean points
23
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_FTD4XD7DVG3 methodology m5 snapshot 868e3c39d9c7 period 2026-w45 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Goose, entity e_FTD4XD7DVG3, snapshot 2026-w45.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_FTD4XD7DVG3:m5:2026-11-07