Evidaxis

DeepSeek-VL2

model
Multimodal Foundation Models · n = 13 · deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-VL2
Single-axis · conf low
momentum
momentum 48.5 of 100 48.5 /100
momentum
48.5/100
pctile
p42
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent × ∅
gate
0 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

gate shut
position in cohort distribution one of 13 in cohort
percentile 42 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p42
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-0.12 within cohort, log-slope +0.000/wk.0-0.12
velocity z
-0.12 σ
slope
+0.000/wk
log-slope +0.000/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
DeepSeek-VL2 on the convergence plane DeepSeek-VL2 at velocity z -0.12 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
-0.12
citation z
no axis
peers
12

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
13
systems measured
weekly commits
0
not rising
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
48.5
percentile p42
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 0 in a week, 0 active weeks, 0 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
0
active
0
total
0
citations by yearno axis

DeepSeek-VL2 holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 48.5 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Multimodal Foundation Models cohort (n = 13). No axis is currently rising within the cohort, and no second (citation) axis is available, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.00, regime flat. prior slope +0.000, recent slope +0.000 per week. +0.000prior 39w+0.000recent 13w+0.00×
swing
+0.00×
regime
flat
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Verdict

DeepSeek-VL2 is tracked. No axis is currently rising relative to its cohort, and it has no second (citation) axis available.

Path to Rising: needs development velocity to recover (at least 5 commits per week and a positive within-cohort slope); its citation history to mature (at least 3 completed years) and rise.

Sources

deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-VL2 development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

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Evidaxis single-axis, DeepSeek-VL2
[![Evidaxis: DeepSeek-VL2](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_D81ZQF8BMQS/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_D81ZQF8BMQS)

Others in Multimodal Foundation Models

DeepSeek-OCR Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
58
p75
vel +0.63 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.63 n/a
Eagle 2.5 Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
83
p100
vel +2.64 cit no axis
axis dials
+2.64 n/a
FastVLM Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
51
p50
vel +0.04 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.04 n/a
GLM-V Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
6
p0
vel -3.54 cit no axis
axis dials
-3.54 n/a
InternVL Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
53
p58
vel +0.20 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.20 n/a
Kimi-VL Multimodal Foundation Models
Single-axis
39
p33
vel -0.87 cit no axis
axis dials
-0.87 n/a

Full Multimodal Foundation Models cohort →

entity_id e_D81ZQF8BMQS methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, DeepSeek-VL2, entity e_D81ZQF8BMQS, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_D81ZQF8BMQS:m2:2026-08-08