Evidaxis

UI-TARS Desktop

repo
GUI & Computer-Use Agents · n = 7 · bytedance/UI-TARS-desktop
2 of 3 axes measurable · conf medium
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): measured ×
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week
position in cohort distribution one of 7 in cohort
percentile 100 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p100
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+1.18 within cohort, log-slope +0.017/wk.0+1.18
velocity z
+1.18 σ
slope
+0.017/wk
log-slope +0.017/wk
citation z Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
direct-dependents z
direct-dependents z gaugedirect-dependents z+0.00 within cohort, log-slope +0.006/point.0+0.00
direct-dependents z
+0.00 σ
slope
+0.006/point
Direct-dependents axis: measured.
cohort
7
systems measured
weekly commits
0.7
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).
momentum
57.4
percentile p100
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0.7/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 5 in a week, 4 active weeks, 10 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 1 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 1 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 5 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 3 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
5
active
4
total
10
citations by yearCitation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations).

UI-TARS Desktop holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 57.4 of 100 on methodology m4, snapshot 2026-10-10, measured within the GUI & Computer-Use Agents cohort (n = 7). Axis coverage: 2 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -2.64, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope -0.026, recent slope +0.068 per week. -0.026prior 39w+0.068recent 13w-2.64×
swing
-2.64×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 4 (2025-11-08), slope change -3.023 commits per week.2025-11-08
date
week
4 of 52
Δslope
-3.023/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m4

Reconstructed history

UI-TARS Desktop reconstructed weekly commits17 points, range 1 to 14 commits/wk.
min
1 commits/wk
max
14 commits/wk
latest
1 commits/wk
points
17

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

UI-TARS Desktop is under weekly measurement. History: 15 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation axis: insufficient source coverage (source returned too few observations). Direct-dependents axis: measured. Gate: computed weekly across the cohort; no convergence event this week

Sources

bytedance/UI-TARS-desktop development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

Others in GUI & Computer-Use Agents

Agent S GUI & Computer-Use Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
52
p67
vel +0.15 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.15 n/a n/a
Agent-E GUI & Computer-Use Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
53
p83
vel +0.20 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.20 n/a n/a
Browser Use GUI & Computer-Use Agents
2 of 3 axes measurable
32
p17
vel -2.20 cit no axis deps -0.67
axis dials
-2.20 n/a -0.67
OmniParser GUI & Computer-Use Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
49
p50
vel -0.08 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.08 n/a n/a
OSWorld GUI & Computer-Use Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
14
p0
vel -2.90 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-2.90 n/a n/a
ShowUI GUI & Computer-Use Agents
1 of 3 axes measurable
43
p33
vel -0.53 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.53 n/a n/a

Full GUI & Computer-Use Agents cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: measured.

Coverage state
scored
Cohort z
+0.00
OLS slope
+0.006
Theil-Sen slope
+0.004
Latest direct dependents
76
Confirmed-clean points
26
Reconstructed history points
15
As-of partition
2026-09-28
Fragility veto
inactive
Rising vote
no

This axis measures the trajectory of a system's own packages: declared in its own tree, published under that name, and not attributed by deps.dev to another repository. A package with no repository link is unverified and stays. The self-name exclusion list is fixed at the v2h.1 panel. Systems with no admitted package are not measured on this axis. Points that cannot be derived exactly are withheld, and the series restarts after a withheld point.

The earliest weekly points of each series were read from deps.dev's BigQuery history on 2026-07-21; later points are weekly captures. m4 does not replay those partitions: each point is the stored system total, one package's unique_direct, or a complete sketch union, and a point that is not exact is withheld. Each record reports how many of its points are reconstructed history.

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_A4CCB1NFPZB methodology m4 snapshot ad5e404d4f82 period 2026-w41 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m4, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, UI-TARS Desktop, entity e_A4CCB1NFPZB, snapshot 2026-w41.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_A4CCB1NFPZB:m4:2026-10-10