Evidaxis

UI-TARS Desktop

repo
GUI & Computer-Use Agents · n = 7 · bytedance/UI-TARS-desktop
Single-axis · conf low
momentum
momentum 35.9 of 100 35.9 /100
momentum
35.9/100
pctile
p33
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent ×
gate
0 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

gate shut
position in cohort distribution one of 7 in cohort
percentile 33 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p33
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-1.13 within cohort, log-slope -0.017/wk.0-1.13
velocity z
-1.13 σ
slope
-0.017/wk
log-slope -0.017/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
UI-TARS Desktop on the convergence plane UI-TARS Desktop at velocity z -1.13 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
-1.13
citation z
no axis
peers
6

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
7
systems measured
weekly commits
0.2
not rising
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
35.9
percentile p33
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0.2/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 6 in a week, 5 active weeks, 10 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 6 commitsweek 4: 0 commitsweek 5: 1 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 1 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 0 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 1 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 1 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
6
active
5
total
10
citations by yearno axis

UI-TARS Desktop holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 35.9 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the GUI & Computer-Use Agents cohort (n = 7). No axis is currently rising within the cohort, and no second (citation) axis is available, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +0.14, regime decelerating. prior slope -0.109, recent slope -0.015 per week. -0.109prior 39w-0.015recent 13w+0.14×
swing
+0.14×
regime
decelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
2
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Verdict

UI-TARS Desktop is tracked. No axis is currently rising relative to its cohort, and it has no second (citation) axis available.

Path to Rising: needs development velocity to recover (at least 5 commits per week and a positive within-cohort slope); its citation history to mature (at least 3 completed years) and rise.

Sources

bytedance/UI-TARS-desktop development-velocity axis
OpenAlex paper citation-momentum axis

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Evidaxis single-axis, UI-TARS Desktop
[![Evidaxis: UI-TARS Desktop](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_A4CCB1NFPZB/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_A4CCB1NFPZB)
entity_id e_A4CCB1NFPZB methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, UI-TARS Desktop, entity e_A4CCB1NFPZB, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_A4CCB1NFPZB:m2:2026-08-08