Evidaxis

Open-Instruct

repo
Post-training & Alignment · n = 14 · allenai/open-instruct
Single-axis · conf low
momentum
momentum 12.6 of 100 12.6 /100
momentum
12.6/100
pctile
p8
convergence gate
Convergence gate: velocity only, citation axis absent × ∅
gate
0 of 2 axes

velocity only, citation axis absent.

gate shut
position in cohort distribution one of 14 in cohort
percentile 8 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p8
momentum is the combined velocity and citation signal, percentile within cohort
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.99 within cohort, log-slope -0.089/wk.0-2.99
velocity z
-2.99 σ
slope
-0.089/wk
log-slope -0.089/wk
convergence planefull gate = rising
Open-Instruct on the convergence plane Open-Instruct at velocity z -2.99 and citation z no axis, against 0 dual-axis cohort peers. single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane. z>=1 median velocity z → citation z ↑
velocity z
-2.99
citation z
no axis
peers
13

single-axis: citation axis absent, excluded from the plane.

citation z no citation axis
cohort
14
systems measured
weekly commits
2.1
not rising
total citations
n/a
no axis
momentum
12.6
percentile p8
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks2.1/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 18 in a week, 23 active weeks, 189 total.week 1: 6 commitsweek 2: 10 commitsweek 3: 8 commitsweek 4: 8 commitsweek 5: 10 commitsweek 6: 15 commitsweek 7: 15 commitsweek 8: 15 commitsweek 9: 15 commitsweek 10: 18 commitsweek 11: 12 commitsweek 12: 7 commitsweek 13: 7 commitsweek 14: 18 commitsweek 15: 2 commitsweek 16: 2 commitsweek 17: 1 commitsweek 18: 7 commitsweek 19: 3 commitsweek 20: 2 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 5 commitsweek 25: 1 commitsweek 26: 2 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
18
active
23
total
189
citations by yearno axis

Open-Instruct holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 12.6 of 100 on methodology m2, snapshot 2026-08-08, measured within the Post-training & Alignment cohort (n = 14). No axis is currently rising within the cohort, and no second (citation) axis is available, so it sits below the two-axis gate.

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +8.51, regime accelerating. prior slope -0.012, recent slope -0.099 per week. -0.012prior 39w-0.099recent 13w+8.51×
swing
+8.51×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.058 with 95% CI -0.089 to -0.027, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.05895% CI -0.089, -0.027-0.089-0.027
sharpe
-0.058
95% ci
-0.089, -0.027
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 6 (2025-09-20), slope change +5.497 commits per week.2025-09-20
date
week
6 of 52
Δslope
+5.497/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m2

Verdict

Open-Instruct is tracked. No axis is currently rising relative to its cohort, and it has no second (citation) axis available.

Path to Rising: needs development velocity to recover (at least 5 commits per week and a positive within-cohort slope); a second measurable axis to exist (no academic paper is currently tracked).

Sources

allenai/open-instruct development-velocity axis

Embed this badge

Evidaxis single-axis, Open-Instruct
[![Evidaxis: Open-Instruct](https://evidaxis.org/badge/e_QF7Y4CJ00Q4/2026-w32.svg)](https://evidaxis.org/e/e_QF7Y4CJ00Q4)

Others in Post-training & Alignment

AReaL Post-training & Alignment
Single-axis
21
p23
vel -2.31 cit no axis
axis dials
-2.31 n/a
Axolotl Post-training & Alignment
Single-axis
47
p38
vel -0.24 cit no axis
axis dials
-0.24 n/a
LLaMA-Factory Post-training & Alignment
Single-axis
50
p46
vel -0.01 cit no axis
axis dials
-0.01 n/a
ms-swift Post-training & Alignment
Single-axis
50
p54
vel -0.02 cit no axis
axis dials
-0.02 n/a
NeMo-RL Post-training & Alignment
Watch
88
p100
vel +3.01 cit no axis
axis dials
+3.01 n/a
Open R1 Post-training & Alignment
Single-axis
53
p62
vel +0.23 cit no axis
axis dials
+0.23 n/a

Full Post-training & Alignment cohort →

entity_id e_QF7Y4CJ00Q4 methodology m2 snapshot 035a72a81e59 period 2026-w32 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m2, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, Open-Instruct, entity e_QF7Y4CJ00Q4, snapshot 2026-w32.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_QF7Y4CJ00Q4:m2:2026-08-08