Evidaxis

manifold

repo
Unassigned (AI-v1 census) · n = 6153 · intelligencedev/manifold
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — history 2 of 4 weekly observations Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — history 2 of 4 weekly observations

Gate: not computable — history 2 of 4 weekly observations
position in cohort distribution one of 6153 in cohort
percentile 11 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p11
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-2.88 within cohort, log-slope -0.157/wk.0-2.88
velocity z
-2.88 σ
slope
-0.157/wk
log-slope -0.157/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.
cohort
6153
systems measured
weekly commits
0.1
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
14.0
percentile p11
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0.1/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 56 in a week, 15 active weeks, 301 total.week 1: 5 commitsweek 2: 15 commitsweek 3: 28 commitsweek 4: 10 commitsweek 5: 14 commitsweek 6: 47 commitsweek 7: 40 commitsweek 8: 18 commitsweek 9: 6 commitsweek 10: 6 commitsweek 11: 3 commitsweek 12: 42 commitsweek 13: 56 commitsweek 14: 10 commitsweek 15: 1 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 0 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 0 commitsweek 26: 0 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
56
active
15
total
301
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

manifold holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 14.0 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-10-17, measured within the Unassigned (AI-v1 census) cohort (n = 6153). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — history 2 of 4 weekly observations

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -23.50, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope +0.004, recent slope -0.098 per week. +0.004prior 39w-0.098recent 13w-23.50×
swing
-23.50×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value -0.041 with 95% CI -0.075 to -0.006, 50 degrees of freedom. CI spans zero.0-0.04195% CI -0.075, -0.006-0.075-0.006
sharpe
-0.041
95% ci
-0.075, -0.006
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Measurement states

manifold is under weekly measurement. History: 2 of 4 weekly observations. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured. Gate: not computable — history 2 of 4 weekly observations

Sources

intelligencedev/manifold development-velocity axis

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_NFA33P0X82H methodology m5 snapshot 4d9867e6f218 period 2026-w42 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, manifold, entity e_NFA33P0X82H, snapshot 2026-w42.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_NFA33P0X82H:m5:2026-10-17