Evidaxis

scenario

repo
Unassigned (AI-v1 census) · n = 5778 · langwatch/scenario
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — history 1 of 4 weekly observations Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — history 1 of 4 weekly observations

Gate: not computable — history 1 of 4 weekly observations
position in cohort distribution one of 5778 in cohort
percentile 19 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p19
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z-1.67 within cohort, log-slope -0.019/wk.0-1.67
velocity z
-1.67 σ
slope
-0.019/wk
log-slope -0.019/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.
cohort
5778
systems measured
weekly commits
10.8
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
29.1
percentile p19
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks10.8/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 40 in a week, 26 active weeks, 308 total.week 1: 2 commitsweek 2: 5 commitsweek 3: 10 commitsweek 4: 3 commitsweek 5: 17 commitsweek 6: 40 commitsweek 7: 8 commitsweek 8: 22 commitsweek 9: 5 commitsweek 10: 18 commitsweek 11: 29 commitsweek 12: 11 commitsweek 13: 4 commitsweek 14: 4 commitsweek 15: 18 commitsweek 16: 9 commitsweek 17: 25 commitsweek 18: 4 commitsweek 19: 2 commitsweek 20: 15 commitsweek 21: 34 commitsweek 22: 4 commitsweek 23: 8 commitsweek 24: 8 commitsweek 25: 1 commitsweek 26: 2 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
40
active
26
total
308
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

scenario holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 29.1 of 100 on methodology m3, snapshot 2026-09-26, measured within the Unassigned (AI-v1 census) cohort (n = 5778). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — history 1 of 4 weekly observations

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio -1.89, regime recent slope sign differs from prior window. prior slope +0.045, recent slope -0.085 per week. +0.045prior 39w-0.085recent 13w-1.89×
swing
-1.89×
regime
recent slope sign differs from prior window
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit-axis Sharpe log-linear slope over residual std, value +0.029 with 95% CI +0.008 to +0.051, 50 degrees of freedom. CI excludes zero.0+0.02995% CI +0.008, +0.051+0.008+0.051
sharpe
+0.029
95% ci
+0.008, +0.051
dof
50
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. Changepoint at week 47 (2026-08-22), slope change -5.131 commits per week.2026-08-22
date
week
47 of 52
Δslope
-5.131/wk
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
3
reserved
3

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-sharpe
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m3

Measurement states

scenario is under weekly measurement. History: 1 of 4 weekly observations. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured. Gate: not computable — history 1 of 4 weekly observations

Sources

langwatch/scenario development-velocity axis

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: outside the frozen panel; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_6GZQ04VAY8V methodology m3 snapshot 9d2fe956adbc period 2026-w39 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m3, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, scenario, entity e_6GZQ04VAY8V, snapshot 2026-w39.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_6GZQ04VAY8V:m3:2026-09-26