Evidaxis

NextChat

repo
Unassigned (AI-v1 census) · n = 6153 · ChatGPTNextWeb/NextChat
1 of 3 axes measurable · conf low
convergence gate
Convergence gate: Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable Development velocity: measured × Citation momentum: not measurable ∅ Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev): not measurable ∅
gate
0 of 3 axes

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable
position in cohort distribution one of 6153 in cohort
percentile 72 within cohort p25 p50 p75 p0 p100
percentile
p72
momentum averages present-axis z-scores; two- and three-axis scores are not strictly comparable
velocity z
velocity z gaugevelocity z+0.52 within cohort, log-slope +0.010/wk.0+0.52
velocity z
+0.52 σ
slope
+0.010/wk
log-slope +0.010/wk
citation z Citation source: not measured.
direct-dependents z Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.
cohort
6153
systems measured
weekly commits
0.4
Development velocity axis: measured.
total citations
n/a
Citation source: not measured.
momentum
56.5
percentile p72
commit heatmap, last 26 weeks0.4/wk
weekly commits, 26 weeks26 weeks of commits, peak 34 in a week, 5 active weeks, 40 total.week 1: 0 commitsweek 2: 0 commitsweek 3: 0 commitsweek 4: 1 commitsweek 5: 0 commitsweek 6: 0 commitsweek 7: 0 commitsweek 8: 0 commitsweek 9: 0 commitsweek 10: 0 commitsweek 11: 0 commitsweek 12: 34 commitsweek 13: 0 commitsweek 14: 0 commitsweek 15: 0 commitsweek 16: 0 commitsweek 17: 1 commitsweek 18: 0 commitsweek 19: 0 commitsweek 20: 0 commitsweek 21: 0 commitsweek 22: 0 commitsweek 23: 0 commitsweek 24: 0 commitsweek 25: 3 commitsweek 26: 1 commits
weeks
26
peak/wk
34
active
5
total
40
citations by yearCitation source: not measured.

NextChat holds an Evidaxis momentum score of 56.5 of 100 on methodology m5, snapshot 2026-10-17, measured within the Unassigned (AI-v1 census) cohort (n = 6153). Axis coverage: 1 of 3 axes measurable. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Derived signals

second-order reads, computed from the published series

Three signals ship when the commit series is statistically sufficient; the rest are held in a reserved state until the data supports them. A reserved signal shows its reason, never a fabricated number. How these are computed.

recency-weighted swing trailing 13-week vs prior 39-week log-slope ratio +3.45, regime accelerating. prior slope +0.014, recent slope +0.050 per week. +0.014prior 39w+0.050recent 13w+3.45×
swing
+3.45×
regime
accelerating
windows
13w vs 39w
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit Sharpereserved: <26 non-zero commit weeks
commit changepoint52 weekly commit points. No significant changepoint detected (|delta slope| within the noise floor).no significant changepoint
changepoint
none detected
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
code-leads-citation lag reserved

reserved: citation series too short / axis absent for cross-correlation

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
axis alpha vs cohort reserved

reserved: cohort N too small for regression (power ~0)

status
reserved
value
insufficient data
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
gate ETA reserved

reserved: needs snapshot history (1 snapshot exists)

status
reserved
value
insufficient history
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
methodology gate snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5
commit weeks
52
citation years
0
shipped
2
reserved
4

shipped

  • recency-swing
  • commit-changepoint

reserved

  • commit-sharpe
  • code-leads-citation-lag
  • axis-alpha
  • gate-eta
snapshot 1 of 1 · · m5

Reconstructed history

NextChat reconstructed weekly commits3 points, range 1 to 34 commits/wk.
min
1 commits/wk
max
34 commits/wk
latest
1 commits/wk
points
3

Weekly commits over the past year, reconstructed from git history (GitHub commit_activity). This is reconstructed, not a point-in-time capture. Evidaxis captures the Type-2 signals (watchers, issues, dependents) live and never backfills them; those are the moat.

Measurement states

NextChat is under weekly measurement. History: 10 weekly observations; minimum 4. Development velocity axis: measured. Citation source: not measured. Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured. Gate: not computable — 1 of 3 axes measurable

Sources

ChatGPTNextWeb/NextChat development-velocity axis

Others in Unassigned (AI-v1 census)

0xDeCA10B Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
51
p63
vel +0.10 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.10 n/a n/a
100-Days-Of-ML-Code Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
77
p83
vel +2.13 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+2.13 n/a n/a
10x Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
50
p47
vel +0.03 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.03 n/a n/a
1Cat-vLLM Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
88
p94
vel +3.03 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+3.03 n/a n/a
3D-convolutional-speaker-recognition Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
51
p57
vel +0.08 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
+0.08 n/a n/a
3D-ResNets-PyTorch Unassigned (AI-v1 census)
1 of 3 axes measurable
49
p37
vel -0.07 cit no axis deps no axis
axis dials
-0.07 n/a n/a

Full Unassigned (AI-v1 census) cohort →

Direct-dependents momentum (deps.dev)

Direct-dependents axis: no admitted own package; not measured.

Coverage state
out_of_panel
Cohort z
no axis
OLS slope
n/a
Theil-Sen slope
n/a
Latest direct dependents
n/a
Confirmed-clean points
n/a
Reconstructed history points
n/a
As-of partition
n/a
Fragility veto
n/a
Rising vote
no

Source: deps.dev (Google), CC-BY 4.0. Modified: aggregated to system-level counts and momentum scores.

Axis definition · Snapshot axis correlations

entity_id e_44E0GZ3MAKS methodology m5 snapshot 4d9867e6f218 period 2026-w42 record JSON ↓ source snapshot

Score derived from public data on Evidaxis methodology m5, never edited by hand. Cite as: “Evidaxis, NextChat, entity e_44E0GZ3MAKS, snapshot 2026-w42.”

Durable reference (format-independent): urn:evidaxis:claim:e_44E0GZ3MAKS:m5:2026-10-17